Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.31) 0.54 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 45.7% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.5%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tarazona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 35.5% 19.1% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 9.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconTarazona
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack29%57%
Defense14%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon Tarazona
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%50%33%67%17%42%
Draws50%17%33%33%17%25%
Loses33%33%33%0%67%33%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWL • Tarazona: LWLDWLWLWDDW

League goals

Metric Alcorcon Tarazona
HATHAT
GF total369538
GF avg0.51.00.80.80.50.7
GA total6511189
GA avg1.00.80.90.21.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconTarazona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%75%58%42%
1.533%8%8%25%
2.50%8%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconTarazona
HATHAT
Clean sheets213527
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricAlcorconTarazona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlcorconTarazona
Wins21
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-31-0—3-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconTarazona
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tarazona and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away4.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 0.50 (league 1.31), Tarazona = 0.54 (league 0.93)

Tarazona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 35.5% 19.1% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 9.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1