Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 17:15 • Estadio Enrique Roca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.29) 1.08 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 32.7% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 18.2% 19.7% 10.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MurciaAlcorcon
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack53%20%
Defense73%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Murcia Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%29%50%38%
Draws50%29%38%43%17%31%
Loses17%43%31%29%33%31%

Form: Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDW • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Real Murcia Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total67134610
GF avg1.01.01.00.61.00.8
GA total67136511
GA avg1.01.01.00.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MurciaAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%46%69%
1.523%23%31%8%
2.58%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MurciaAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score224437

Penalties

MetricReal MurciaAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricReal MurciaAlcorcon
Wins22
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-31-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricReal MurciaAlcorcon
Form61%39%
Att73%27%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Murcia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Murcia = 0.62 (league 1.29), Alcorcon = 1.08 (league 0.92)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 18.2% 19.7% 10.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1