Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.31) 0.23 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 45.0% 10.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
1 - 0
28.1%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 38.3% 8.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoMarbella
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack67%33%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Marbella
HATHAT
Played67136612
Wins33%0%15%33%0%17%
Draws33%57%46%50%33%42%
Loses33%43%38%17%67%42%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDL • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLL

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Marbella
HATHAT
GF total538628
GF avg0.80.40.61.00.30.7
GA total46105712
GA avg0.70.90.80.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoMarbella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%69%58%67%
1.58%8%8%25%
2.50%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoMarbella
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score246145

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoMarbella
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoMarbella
Wins11
Draws34
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-1—
Biggest losses1-21-01-23-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoMarbella
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sevilla Atletico or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sevilla Atletico = 0.73 (league 1.31), Marbella = 0.23 (league 0.93)

Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 38.3% 8.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 10.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1