Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 17:15 • Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.29) 0.88 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 28.2% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Murcia
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Cartagena 0 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC CartagenaReal Murcia
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack27%82%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Cartagena Real Murcia
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%25%43%43%29%36%
Draws17%50%36%43%29%36%
Loses17%25%21%14%43%29%

Form: FC Cartagena: DWWDLWDWDLWLDW • Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDWW

League goals

Metric FC Cartagena Real Murcia
HATHAT
GF total103138715
GF avg1.70.40.91.11.01.1
GA total56117714
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC CartagenaReal Murcia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%43%71%79%
1.536%29%29%21%
2.514%7%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC CartagenaReal Murcia
HATHAT
Clean sheets358213
Failed to score268224

Penalties

MetricFC CartagenaReal Murcia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC CartagenaReal Murcia
Wins22
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFC CartagenaReal Murcia
Form35%65%
Att25%75%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total48.3%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Cartagena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Cartagena = 1.32 (league 1.29), Real Murcia = 0.88 (league 0.91)

Real Murcia
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Cartagena 0 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1