Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.30) 0.66 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 36.7% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnastic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 22.5% 14.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack19%31%
Defense81%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Gimnastic
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%0%21%50%17%36%
Draws29%57%43%13%50%29%
Loses29%43%36%38%33%36%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDLW • Gimnastic: WDLLWWLWDLLWDD

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Gimnastic
HATHAT
GF total63912618
GF avg0.90.40.61.51.01.3
GA total461012719
GA avg0.60.90.71.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%71%64%
1.57%7%50%50%
2.50%0%7%21%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
HATHAT
Clean sheets415235
Failed to score246134

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
Wins12
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-00-32-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoGimnastic
Form55%45%
Att38%63%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total50.7%49.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gimnastic and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw2.99 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla Atletico = 0.83 (league 1.30), Gimnastic = 0.66 (league 0.90)

Gimnastic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 22.5% 14.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1