Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:15 • Estadio El Palmar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.31) 1.26 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 22.5% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanluqueño 0 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.1% 10.2% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanluqueñoHércules
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack22%78%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanluqueño Hércules
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%75%0%40%
Draws43%25%33%13%29%20%
Loses29%63%47%13%71%40%

Form: Sanluqueño: DDWDWDLLLLLDLWL • Hércules: WLLLDLWWLDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Sanluqueño Hércules
HATHAT
GF total941311617
GF avg1.30.50.91.40.91.1
GA total9101931316
GA avg1.31.31.30.41.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanluqueñoHércules
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%73%73%67%
1.527%40%33%40%
2.513%13%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanluqueñoHércules
HATHAT
Clean sheets224505
Failed to score268224

Penalties

MetricSanluqueñoHércules
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSanluqueñoHércules
Wins12
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-0
Biggest losses1-33-00-12-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricSanluqueñoHércules
Form29%71%
Att22%78%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals57%43%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sanluqueño or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanluqueño = 1.89 (league 1.31), Hércules = 1.26 (league 0.93)

Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanluqueño 0 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.1% 10.2% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1