Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 • Pinilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.29) 0.60 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 31.0% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Teruel 0 16.9% 10.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTeruelAlgeciras
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack33%67%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Teruel Algeciras
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins50%29%40%63%14%40%
Draws25%43%33%13%29%20%
Loses25%29%27%25%57%40%

Form: Teruel: DLDDWWDWWWLDLLW • Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Teruel Algeciras
HATHAT
GF total751210616
GF avg0.90.70.81.30.91.1
GA total571251217
GA avg0.61.00.80.61.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTeruelAlgeciras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%53%80%53%
1.513%20%20%40%
2.50%7%7%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTeruelAlgeciras
HATHAT
Clean sheets437617
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricTeruelAlgeciras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTeruelAlgeciras
Wins31
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-02-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricTeruelAlgeciras
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Algeciras and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Betfair
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Teruel = 1.19 (league 1.29), Algeciras = 0.60 (league 0.91)

Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Teruel 0 16.9% 10.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1