Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.31) 0.58 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 44.4% 30.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.7%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ibiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 33.7% 19.6% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconIbiza
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack25%25%
Defense63%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon Ibiza
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%38%31%25%25%25%
Draws50%13%31%50%38%44%
Loses25%50%38%25%38%31%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDL • Ibiza: WWDDLLLWLDDDDWLD

League goals

Metric Alcorcon Ibiza
HATHAT
GF total58137512
GF avg0.61.00.80.90.60.8
GA total79166915
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconIbiza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%44%63%
1.525%19%25%25%
2.50%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconIbiza
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score437459

Penalties

MetricAlcorconIbiza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlcorconIbiza
Wins22
Draws34
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconIbiza
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals28%72%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ibiza and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 0.51 (league 1.31), Ibiza = 0.58 (league 0.93)

Ibiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 33.7% 19.6% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 44.4% · Away win 30.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1