Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31) 0.65 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 35.7% 25.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.4%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 21.4% 13.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlgecirasVillarreal II
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack83%83%
Defense17%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Algeciras Villarreal II
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%13%38%38%25%31%
Draws13%25%19%38%25%31%
Loses25%63%44%25%50%38%

Form: Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLWL • Villarreal II: WLDDLLWLDWWLDWLD

League goals

Metric Algeciras Villarreal II
HATHAT
GF total1061613821
GF avg1.30.81.01.61.01.3
GA total5131810717
GA avg0.61.61.11.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlgecirasVillarreal II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%56%75%63%
1.519%38%31%31%
2.56%19%19%13%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlgecirasVillarreal II
HATHAT
Clean sheets617336
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricAlgecirasVillarreal II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlgecirasVillarreal II
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-10-3
Biggest losses2-33-01-32-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAlgecirasVillarreal II
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Algeciras or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Algeciras = 0.89 (league 1.31), Villarreal II = 0.65 (league 0.93)

Villarreal II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 21.4% 13.9% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1