Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.30) 0.80 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 29.5% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 13.0% 10.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarbellaHércules
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marbella Hércules
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%0%19%75%0%38%
Draws38%38%38%13%38%25%
Loses25%63%44%13%63%38%

Form: Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLD • Hércules: WLLLDLWWLDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Marbella Hércules
HATHAT
GF total731011718
GF avg0.90.40.61.40.91.1
GA total691531417
GA avg0.81.10.90.41.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarbellaHércules
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%69%75%69%
1.56%19%31%38%
2.50%6%6%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarbellaHércules
HATHAT
Clean sheets325505
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricMarbellaHércules
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMarbellaHércules
Wins12
Draws41
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-0
Biggest losses1-23-10-12-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricMarbellaHércules
Form33%67%
Att22%78%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hércules and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marbella = 1.24 (league 1.30), Hércules = 0.80 (league 0.90)

Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 13.0% 10.4% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 23.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1