Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31) 0.43 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 37.9% 17.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sanluqueño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 26.6% 11.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack17%17%
Defense72%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Sanluqueño
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%0%19%25%13%19%
Draws25%50%38%50%25%38%
Loses38%50%44%25%63%44%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDLWLL • Sanluqueño: DDWDWDLLLLLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Sanluqueño
HATHAT
GF total731010414
GF avg0.90.40.61.30.50.9
GA total6713101020
GA avg0.80.90.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%69%50%75%
1.56%13%25%38%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
HATHAT
Clean sheets415224
Failed to score257268

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
Wins11
Draws32
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-01-3
Biggest losses1-21-01-33-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoSanluqueño
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sevilla Atletico or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla Atletico = 0.89 (league 1.31), Sanluqueño = 0.43 (league 0.93)

Sanluqueño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 26.6% 11.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 37.9% · Away win 17.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1