Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:15 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.31) 0.32 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 49.5% 17.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.8%
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Cartagena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 41.8% 13.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 7.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconFC Cartagena
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack38%25%
Defense56%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon FC Cartagena
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins22%38%29%63%22%41%
Draws56%13%35%13%44%29%
Loses22%50%35%25%33%29%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLD • FC Cartagena: DWWDLWDWDLWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Alcorcon FC Cartagena
HATHAT
GF total781513316
GF avg0.81.00.91.60.30.9
GA total99186814
GA avg1.01.11.10.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconFC Cartagena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%76%41%47%
1.529%24%35%29%
2.50%6%18%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconFC Cartagena
HATHAT
Clean sheets314459
Failed to score4373710

Penalties

MetricAlcorconFC Cartagena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlcorconFC Cartagena
Wins22
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconFC Cartagena
Form42%58%
Att60%40%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Cartagena and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.87 @ 188Bet
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.42 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 0.55 (league 1.31), FC Cartagena = 0.32 (league 0.93)

FC Cartagena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 41.8% 13.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 7.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 49.5% · Away win 17.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1