Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:45 • Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.30) 0.26 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 43.6% 11.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.2%
1 - 0
27.4%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 36.2% 9.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack36%36%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Algeciras Sevilla Atletico
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%13%35%44%0%24%
Draws22%25%24%22%50%35%
Loses22%63%41%33%50%41%

Form: Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLWLD • Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Algeciras Sevilla Atletico
HATHAT
GF total106169312
GF avg1.10.80.91.00.40.7
GA total513187714
GA avg0.61.61.10.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%53%59%71%
1.518%35%12%12%
2.56%18%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets718415
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
Wins11
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-0—
Biggest losses2-33-01-21-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against3321

Model comparison

MetricAlgecirasSevilla Atletico
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Algeciras or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ SBO
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away4.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Algeciras = 0.76 (league 1.30), Sevilla Atletico = 0.26 (league 0.93)

Sevilla Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 36.2% 9.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 43.6% · Away win 11.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1