Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:45 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.31) 0.56 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 28.4% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal II 0 14.9% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarreal IIMarbella
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack29%14%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal II Marbella
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%33%0%18%
Draws38%33%35%33%38%35%
Loses25%44%35%33%63%47%

Form: Villarreal II: WLDDLLWLDWWLDWLDD • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Villarreal II Marbella
HATHAT
GF total138217310
GF avg1.60.91.20.80.40.6
GA total107177916
GA avg1.30.81.00.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarreal IIMarbella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%59%53%71%
1.529%29%6%18%
2.518%12%0%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarreal IIMarbella
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score145358

Penalties

MetricVillarreal IIMarbella
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVillarreal IIMarbella
Wins21
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-1—
Biggest losses1-32-11-23-1
Goals For4321
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricVillarreal IIMarbella
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Villarreal II or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal II = 1.34 (league 1.31), Marbella = 0.56 (league 0.93)

Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal II 0 14.9% 8.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 11.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 15.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1