Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Enrique Roca
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.30)
0.95 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 26.3% | 24.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Hércules | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Murcia | 0 | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 44% | 39% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 44% | 44% | 67% | 11% | 39% |
| Draws | 33% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 22% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 56% | 39% |
Real MurciaLWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWW
HérculesWLLLDLWWLDWLWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Murcia | Hércules | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 28% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Murcia | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.49 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.68 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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