Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 • Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.31) 0.17 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 47.2% 8.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.0%
1 - 0
29.2%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabadell 0 42.0% 7.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.2% 5.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSabadellMarbella
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack100%30%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sabadell Marbella
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%56%50%33%0%17%
Draws56%33%44%33%33%33%
Loses0%11%6%33%67%50%

Form: Sabadell: DDWDWDDWDDDWWLWWWW • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Sabadell Marbella
HATHAT
GF total616227411
GF avg0.71.81.20.80.40.6
GA total08871219
GA avg0.00.90.40.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSabadellMarbella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%33%56%72%
1.539%11%6%22%
2.511%0%0%11%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSabadellMarbella
HATHAT
Clean sheets9312325
Failed to score527358

Penalties

MetricSabadellMarbella
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSabadellMarbella
Wins21
Draws34
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-1—
Biggest losses—2-01-23-1
Goals For2521
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricSabadellMarbella
Form75%25%
Att77%23%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sabadell or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Unibet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sabadell = 0.70 (league 1.31), Marbella = 0.17 (league 0.93)

Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabadell 0 42.0% 7.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.2% 5.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 47.2% · Away win 8.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1