Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 13:00 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.31)
0.34 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | 39.7% | 14.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.1%
1 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarreal II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 30.1% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.8% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 13% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 56% | 55% | 55% | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| Draws | 44% | 9% | 25% | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 0% | 36% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Atlético Madrid II: DLDWWWWLWWDWWLWWLDWD • Villarreal II: WLDDLLWLDWWLDWLDDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 55% | 70% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Madrid II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Madrid II = 0.86 (league 1.31), Villarreal II = 0.34 (league 0.93)
| Villarreal II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 30.1% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.8% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 14.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1