Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio Enrique Roca
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.31) 0.97 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 25.4% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 8.0% 7.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MurciaAlgeciras
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack75%88%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Murcia Algeciras
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins40%40%40%64%11%40%
Draws40%20%30%18%33%25%
Loses20%40%30%18%56%35%

Form: Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWWDL • Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLWLDWDW

League goals

Metric Real Murcia Algeciras
HATHAT
GF total12102215823
GF avg1.21.01.11.40.91.2
GA total1091951520
GA avg1.00.91.00.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MurciaAlgeciras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%75%75%50%
1.530%20%30%35%
2.510%0%10%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MurciaAlgeciras
HATHAT
Clean sheets2359110
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricReal MurciaAlgeciras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricReal MurciaAlgeciras
Wins31
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-02-33-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricReal MurciaAlgeciras
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total54.3%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Real Murcia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away5.20 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Real Murcia = 1.56 (league 1.31), Algeciras = 0.97 (league 0.93)

Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 8.0% 7.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% Ā· Draw 25.4% Ā· Away win 23.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1