Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Enrique Roca
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.31)
0.95 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Algeciras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Murcia | 0 | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 58% |
| Defense | 58% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 64% | 11% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 18% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 18% | 56% | 35% |
Real MurciaLWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWWDL
AlgecirasLDWLWDLLWLWDWLWLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Murcia | Algeciras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 30% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Murcia | Algeciras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 54.3% | 46.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.97 @ Dafabet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away4.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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