Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:15 • Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.30) 0.39 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 39.6% 16.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabadell 0 29.2% 11.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

šŸ”®

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSabadellAlcorcon
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack100%75%
Defense88%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sabadell Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins50%60%55%27%33%30%
Draws50%30%40%55%22%40%
Loses0%10%5%18%44%30%

Form: Sabadell: DDWDWDDWDDDWWLWWWWWW • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLDDDW

League goals

Metric Sabadell Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total11172810818
GF avg1.11.71.40.90.90.9
GA total08811920
GA avg0.00.80.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSabadellAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%30%60%75%
1.540%10%30%20%
2.515%0%0%5%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSabadellAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets10414325
Failed to score527448

Penalties

MetricSabadellAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSabadellAlcorcon
Wins22
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-52-11-2
Biggest losses—2-00-32-1
Goals For5522
Goals Against0232

Model comparison

MetricSabadellAlcorcon
Form71%29%
Att70%30%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sabadell or draw

šŸ’ø

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away4.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.46 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
šŸ“Š

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Sabadell = 0.84 (league 1.30), Alcorcon = 0.39 (league 0.93)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabadell 0 29.2% 11.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% Ā· Draw 39.6% Ā· Away win 16.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1