Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.30) 1.08 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 29.8% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnastic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 12.0% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconGimnastic
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack56%33%
Defense56%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon Gimnastic
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins27%30%29%55%20%38%
Draws55%30%43%9%30%19%
Loses18%40%29%36%50%43%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLDDDWD • Gimnastic: WDLLWWLWDLLWDDWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Alcorcon Gimnastic
HATHAT
GF total10818151025
GF avg0.90.80.91.41.01.2
GA total11920131528
GA avg1.00.91.01.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconGimnastic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%67%67%
1.529%19%48%43%
2.50%5%5%19%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconGimnastic
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score459257

Penalties

MetricAlcorconGimnastic
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAlcorconGimnastic
Wins22
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-34-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconGimnastic
Form70%30%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alcorcon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 1.04 (league 1.30), Gimnastic = 1.08 (league 0.93)

Gimnastic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 12.0% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1