Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Enrique Roca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.31) 0.78 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 28.8% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 12.5% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MurciaMarbella
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack29%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Murcia Marbella
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%31%31%31%8%19%
Draws31%31%31%23%23%23%
Loses38%38%38%46%69%58%

Form: Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWWDLLDLLDL • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLDLLLLWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Real Murcia Marbella
HATHAT
GF total13112411819
GF avg1.00.80.90.80.60.7
GA total151126122234
GA avg1.20.81.00.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MurciaMarbella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%77%54%77%
1.523%23%12%31%
2.58%0%4%15%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MurciaMarbella
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score55106612

Penalties

MetricReal MurciaMarbella
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricReal MurciaMarbella
Wins31
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-00-25-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricReal MurciaMarbella
Form40%60%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Real Murcia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Murcia = 1.30 (league 1.31), Marbella = 0.78 (league 0.92)

Marbella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 12.5% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 22.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1