Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.31) 0.84 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 29.5% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Eldense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal II 0 12.8% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.6% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarreal IIEldense
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal II Eldense
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%31%36%69%8%40%
Draws42%38%40%23%67%44%
Loses17%31%24%8%25%16%

Form: Villarreal II: WLDDLLWLDWWLDWLDDWDWDDWWD • Eldense: DWDWLDLDDWDWDLDWWWWDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Villarreal II Eldense
HATHAT
GF total19143322830
GF avg1.61.11.31.70.71.2
GA total13922121224
GA avg1.10.70.90.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarreal IIEldense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%60%84%60%
1.528%20%28%24%
2.520%8%8%12%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarreal IIEldense
HATHAT
Clean sheets46107310
Failed to score156044

Penalties

MetricVillarreal IIEldense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricVillarreal IIEldense
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-11-33-0
Goals For4431
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricVillarreal IIEldense
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total48.0%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Villarreal II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal II = 1.22 (league 1.31), Eldense = 0.84 (league 0.92)

Eldense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal II 0 12.8% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.6% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 25.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1