Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 17:15 • Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.29) 0.49 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 30.8% 15.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Teruel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 18.2% 9.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlgecirasTeruel
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack70%40%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Algeciras Teruel
HATHAT
Played131124131225
Wins62%18%42%46%33%40%
Draws23%27%25%23%33%28%
Loses15%55%33%31%33%32%

Form: Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLWLDWDWWDWL • Teruel: DLDDWWDWWWLDLLWWLLWLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Algeciras Teruel
HATHAT
GF total17112891120
GF avg1.31.01.20.70.90.8
GA total6192571421
GA avg0.51.71.00.51.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlgecirasTeruel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%50%64%52%
1.529%33%16%24%
2.58%17%0%8%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlgecirasTeruel
HATHAT
Clean sheets102127512
Failed to score235549

Penalties

MetricAlgecirasTeruel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAlgecirasTeruel
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses2-34-11-23-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricAlgecirasTeruel
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Algeciras or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Algeciras = 1.21 (league 1.29), Teruel = 0.49 (league 0.91)

Teruel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 18.2% 9.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.0% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 15.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1