Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.29) 0.95 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 31.6% 33.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
14.2%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud Torremolinos 0 14.6% 13.9% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack50%39%
Defense50%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud Torremolinos Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins31%23%27%36%25%31%
Draws54%31%42%50%42%46%
Loses15%46%31%14%33%23%

Form: Juventud Torremolinos: LLWDDDWLWDDDWLLDLWLDWDLDDW • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLDDDWDDDWDW

League goals

Metric Juventud Torremolinos Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total181533151025
GF avg1.41.21.31.10.81.0
GA total142135121123
GA avg1.11.61.30.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%81%62%65%
1.538%38%31%19%
2.512%15%4%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets325549
Failed to score2464610

Penalties

MetricJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
Wins12
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-32-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricJuventud TorremolinosAlcorcon
Form40%60%
Att56%44%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alcorcon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventud Torremolinos = 0.98 (league 1.29), Alcorcon = 0.95 (league 0.93)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud Torremolinos 0 14.6% 13.9% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 33.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1