Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.31) 0.88 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 26.0% 21.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 9.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconAlgeciras
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack38%19%
Defense81%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon Algeciras
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins36%23%30%57%15%37%
Draws50%38%44%29%23%26%
Loses14%38%26%14%62%37%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLDDDWDDDWDWL • Algeciras: LDWLWDLLWLWDWLWLDWDWWDWLDLL

League goals

Metric Alcorcon Algeciras
HATHAT
GF total151025171229
GF avg1.10.80.91.20.91.1
GA total12122462430
GA avg0.90.90.90.41.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconAlgeciras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%67%74%52%
1.530%19%26%37%
2.54%4%7%19%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconAlgeciras
HATHAT
Clean sheets54911213
Failed to score4711347

Penalties

MetricAlcorconAlgeciras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAlcorconAlgeciras
Wins22
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-12-34-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconAlgeciras
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alcorcon or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 1.51 (league 1.31), Algeciras = 0.88 (league 0.92)

Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 9.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1