Sun, Mar 22 2026 ā¢ 19:30 ā¢
Estadio Enrique Roca
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.29)
0.71 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.1% | 35.7% | 28.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarazona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Murcia | 0 | 20.9% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 30% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Draws | 36% | 29% | 32% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Loses | 36% | 43% | 39% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
Form: Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWWDLLDLLDLDL ā¢ Tarazona: LWLDWLWLWDDWLLDLWDDWDDLDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Murcia | Tarazona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 79% | 61% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 25% | 18% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Murcia | Tarazona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tarazona and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Real Murcia = 0.85 (league 1.29), Tarazona = 0.71 (league 0.93)
| Tarazona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Murcia | 0 | 20.9% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% Ā· Draw 35.7% Ā· Away win 28.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1