Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 14:30 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.31) 0.69 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 40.9% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.8%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Murcia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 28.8% 20.0% 6.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack21%21%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Atletico Real Murcia
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%0%14%33%29%31%
Draws36%33%34%33%29%31%
Loses36%67%52%33%43%38%

Form: Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDDLWDDDLWLLWLDDLLLLLDLDL • Real Murcia: LWDDLDLLDWWDWWWLWWDLLDLLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Sevilla Atletico Real Murcia
HATHAT
GF total11415151126
GF avg0.80.30.51.00.80.9
GA total112132161329
GA avg0.81.41.11.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%76%62%76%
1.57%24%21%24%
2.50%10%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
HATHAT
Clean sheets527347
Failed to score511165611

Penalties

MetricSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
Wins13
Draws32
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-22-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSevilla AtleticoReal Murcia
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Murcia and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.55 @ Betano
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Sevilla Atletico = 0.55 (league 1.31), Real Murcia = 0.69 (league 0.92)

Real Murcia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla Atletico 0 28.8% 20.0% 6.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.9% 11.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% Ā· Draw 40.9% Ā· Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1