Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 10:00 • Palladium Can Misses
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.31) 0.59 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 40.4% 26.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ibiza 0 28.0% 16.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIbizaAlcorcon
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack36%64%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ibiza Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%27%34%33%29%31%
Draws29%27%28%53%36%45%
Loses29%47%38%13%36%24%

Form: Ibiza: WWDDLLLWLDDDDWLDDLWWLWLWLWWLL • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLDWLWLDLDDDWDDDWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Ibiza Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total141630151227
GF avg1.01.11.01.00.90.9
GA total82028121325
GA avg0.61.31.00.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIbizaAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%62%59%66%
1.538%24%31%17%
2.510%10%3%3%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIbizaAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets74116410
Failed to score68145712

Penalties

MetricIbizaAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricIbizaAlcorcon
Wins22
Draws43
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-32-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricIbizaAlcorcon
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h93%7%
Goals74%26%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ibiza or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ibiza = 0.69 (league 1.31), Alcorcon = 0.59 (league 0.92)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ibiza 0 28.0% 16.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 26.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1