Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 17:00 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.30)
0.39 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 21.7% | 7.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 12.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 53% | 50% | 33% | 13% | 23% |
| Draws | 47% | 13% | 30% | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| Loses | 7% | 33% | 20% | 47% | 63% | 55% |
Form: Atlético Madrid II: DLDWWWWLWWDWWLWWLDWDDLDWLDDWWW • Marbella: WDDDDLWLDLLLLWLDLLLLWLLWLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 25 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 13 | 25 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 60% | 55% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 27% | 13% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | Marbella |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Madrid II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Madrid II = 1.72 (league 1.30), Marbella = 0.39 (league 0.92)
| Marbella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 12.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 7.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1