Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.36) 0.05 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.3% 11.6% 0.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
23.1%
3 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 10.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoReal Avilés
Played11
Form0%0%
Attack9%0%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Real Avilés
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%100%100%

Form: Lugo: L • Real Avilés: L

League goals

Metric Lugo Real Avilés
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total022303
GA avg0.02.02.03.00.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoReal Avilés
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.50%100%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoReal Avilés
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLugoReal Avilés
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLugoReal Avilés
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses2-10-3
Goals For0100
Goals Against0230

Model comparison

MetricLugoReal Avilés
Form0%0%
Att100%0%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bwin
Away5.30 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 2.21 (league 1.36), Real Avilés = 0.05 (league 1.02)

Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 10.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.3% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1