Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.15 (league 1.36) 0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 37.2% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
0 - 1
31.5%
0 - 2
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 32.1% 31.5% 15.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoRacing Ferrol
Played33
Form11%100%
Attack10%50%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

34%
FT probability

2.5+

24%
FT probability

3.5+

17%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws100%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: Lugo: LDL • Racing Ferrol: WWW

League goals

Metric Lugo Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
GF total011415
GF avg0.00.50.32.01.01.7
GA total033202
GA avg0.01.51.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoRacing Ferrol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%100%67%
1.50%33%67%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoRacing Ferrol
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricLugoRacing Ferrol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLugoRacing Ferrol
Wins03
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-10-1
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For0121
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricLugoRacing Ferrol
Form10%90%
Att17%83%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Racing Ferrol and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away2.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 0.15 (league 1.36), Racing Ferrol = 0.98 (league 1.02)

Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 32.1% 31.5% 15.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
1 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1