Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:15 •
Estadio El Toralín
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.35)
0.96 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 34.4% | 40.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 19.6% | 18.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Ponferradina: WLL • Guadalajara: LWW
League goals
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ponferradina | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ponferradina | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Guadalajara and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 0.68 (league 1.35), Guadalajara = 0.96 (league 1.05)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 19.6% | 18.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 40.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1