Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:15 •
Estadio El Prado
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35)
0.48 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.4% | 32.7% | 15.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CF Talavera | 0 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 21% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: CF Talavera: LDWD • Lugo: LDLW
League goals
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CF Talavera | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CF Talavera | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.8% |
Advice: Double chance : CF Talavera or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 1.11 (league 1.35), Lugo = 0.48 (league 1.05)
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CF Talavera | 0 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 15.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1