Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 19:30 •
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34)
1.97 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 20.5% | 64.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 6.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 75% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Racing Ferrol: WWWL • Guadalajara: LWWW
League goals
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Racing Ferrol = 0.75 (league 1.34), Guadalajara = 1.97 (league 1.01)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 6.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 64.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1