Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:15 •
Estadio Pedro Escartín
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35)
0.96 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 30.1% | 30.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 12.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 43% | 50% |
| Defense | 79% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Guadalajara: LWWWD • Real Avilés: LDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara | Real Avilés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara = 1.11 (league 1.35), Real Avilés = 0.96 (league 1.05)
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 12.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 30.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1