Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.35) 0.62 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 34.7% 22.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cacereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 20.5% 12.7% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoCacereño
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack20%40%
Defense67%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Cacereño
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%0%20%50%0%20%
Draws50%0%20%0%100%60%
Loses0%100%60%50%0%20%

Form: Lugo: LDLWL • Cacereño: DDLWD

League goals

Metric Lugo Cacereño
HATHAT
GF total213246
GF avg1.00.30.61.01.31.2
GA total145347
GA avg0.51.31.01.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoCacereño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%80%100%
1.520%20%40%40%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoCacereño
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricLugoCacereño
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLugoCacereño
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-1
Biggest losses2-10-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricLugoCacereño
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.3%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cacereño

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 0.96 (league 1.35), Cacereño = 0.62 (league 1.05)

Cacereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 20.5% 12.7% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1