Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:15 • Estadio El Toralín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.36) 1.18 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 31.6% 56.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.1%
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 2
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 21.3% 25.1% 14.8% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPonferradinaReal Madrid II
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack42%25%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ponferradina Real Madrid II
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%0%20%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses100%33%60%67%100%80%

Form: Ponferradina: WLLLD • Real Madrid II: WLLLL

League goals

Metric Ponferradina Real Madrid II
HATHAT
GF total145303
GF avg0.51.31.01.00.00.6
GA total426527
GA avg2.00.71.21.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePonferradinaReal Madrid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%40%100%
1.520%40%20%20%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPonferradinaReal Madrid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricPonferradinaReal Madrid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPonferradinaReal Madrid II
Wins11
Draws00
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-1—
Biggest losses1-32-11-31-0
Goals For1320
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricPonferradinaReal Madrid II
Form57%43%
Att63%38%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.0%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Unibet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away4.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 0.37 (league 1.36), Real Madrid II = 1.18 (league 1.02)

Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 21.3% 25.1% 14.8% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 56.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1