Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal da Malata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.38) 0.34 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 18.9% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
19.3%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Ferrol 0 10.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing FerrolOurense CF
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack40%20%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Ferrol Ourense CF
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%50%60%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%50%20%67%50%60%

Form: Racing Ferrol: WWWLD • Ourense CF: DDLLL

League goals

Metric Racing Ferrol Ourense CF
HATHAT
GF total426213
GF avg1.31.01.20.70.50.6
GA total224448
GA avg0.71.00.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing FerrolOurense CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%80%
1.540%20%0%60%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing FerrolOurense CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricRacing FerrolOurense CF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing FerrolOurense CF
Wins30
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses—2-11-23-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricRacing FerrolOurense CF
Form83%17%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total75.8%24.3%

Advice: Double chance : Racing Ferrol or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Racing Ferrol = 1.89 (league 1.38), Ourense CF = 0.34 (league 1.04)

Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Ferrol 0 10.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1