Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 19:15 • Campo de Lasesarre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.38) 0.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 28.8% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 11.1% 10.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarakaldoAthletic Club II
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack35%29%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barakaldo Athletic Club II
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws67%67%67%33%67%50%
Loses0%33%17%0%33%17%

Form: Barakaldo: LDWDDD • Athletic Club II: DDWWLD

League goals

Metric Barakaldo Athletic Club II
HATHAT
GF total426235
GF avg1.30.71.00.71.00.8
GA total336044
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarakaldoAthletic Club II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%67%33%
1.517%0%17%17%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarakaldoAthletic Club II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBarakaldoAthletic Club II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarakaldoAthletic Club II
Wins12
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses—1-0—3-2
Goals For2112
Goals Against1103

Model comparison

MetricBarakaldoAthletic Club II
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Barakaldo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ William Hill
Draw2.95 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barakaldo = 1.22 (league 1.38), Athletic Club II = 0.97 (league 1.03)

Athletic Club II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 11.1% 10.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1