Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Municipal de Barreiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.36) 0.48 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 23.7% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 12.1% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.8% 9.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack59%24%
Defense76%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta de Vigo II Ourense CF
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%17%33%67%50%
Loses33%0%17%67%33%50%

Form: Celta de Vigo II: DLWWWW • Ourense CF: DDLLLD

League goals

Metric Celta de Vigo II Ourense CF
HATHAT
GF total4610224
GF avg1.32.01.70.70.70.7
GA total224459
GA avg0.70.70.71.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%67%83%
1.567%17%0%50%
2.517%0%0%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
Wins00
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-4——
Biggest losses0-1—1-23-0
Goals For2411
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricCelta de Vigo IIOurense CF
Form86%14%
Att71%29%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Celta de Vigo II or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 188Bet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta de Vigo II = 1.63 (league 1.36), Ourense CF = 0.48 (league 1.02)

Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 12.1% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.8% 9.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1