Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio El Prado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.34) 0.88 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 37.3% 41.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 24.6% 21.6% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF TalaveraPonferradina
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack60%40%
Defense50%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Talavera Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%33%17%
Draws67%0%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%67%33%100%33%67%

Form: CF Talavera: LDWDWL • Ponferradina: WLLLDL

League goals

Metric CF Talavera Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total347347
GF avg1.01.31.21.01.31.2
GA total257729
GA avg0.71.71.22.30.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF TalaveraPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%67%67%
1.517%33%33%50%
2.50%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF TalaveraPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricCF TalaveraPonferradina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCF TalaveraPonferradina
Wins11
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-20-3
Biggest losses2-11-32-1
Goals For1223
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricCF TalaveraPonferradina
Form89%11%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : CF Talavera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ Marathonbet
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 0.52 (league 1.34), Ponferradina = 0.88 (league 1.04)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 24.6% 21.6% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1