Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Romano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.38) 1.62 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 22.1% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arenteiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 3.0% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.6% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMérida ADArenteiro
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack67%44%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mérida AD Arenteiro
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%75%0%43%
Loses33%100%71%0%67%29%

Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWL • Arenteiro: LWWDLDD

League goals

Metric Mérida AD Arenteiro
HATHAT
GF total617246
GF avg2.00.31.00.51.30.9
GA total41014145
GA avg1.32.52.00.31.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMérida ADArenteiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%71%43%
1.529%71%14%29%
2.514%43%0%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMérida ADArenteiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricMérida ADArenteiro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMérida ADArenteiro
Wins12
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-02-1
Goals For3112
Goals Against4312

Model comparison

MetricMérida ADArenteiro
Form33%67%
Att60%40%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arenteiro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 1.89 (league 1.38), Arenteiro = 1.62 (league 1.04)

Arenteiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 3.0% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.6% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1