Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio de O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.35) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 29.9% 49.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ourense CF 0 14.7% 18.3% 11.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOurense CFReal Madrid II
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack21%36%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ourense CF Real Madrid II
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%50%33%43%
Draws33%75%57%0%0%0%
Loses67%25%43%50%67%57%

Form: Ourense CF: DDLLLDD • Real Madrid II: WLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Ourense CF Real Madrid II
HATHAT
GF total224437
GF avg0.70.50.61.01.01.0
GA total459549
GA avg1.31.31.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOurense CFReal Madrid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%57%86%
1.50%43%29%29%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOurense CFReal Madrid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricOurense CFReal Madrid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOurense CFReal Madrid II
Wins01
Draws20
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-31-0
Goals For1123
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricOurense CFReal Madrid II
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.0%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ourense CF = 0.68 (league 1.35), Real Madrid II = 1.24 (league 1.05)

Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ourense CF 0 14.7% 18.3% 11.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 49.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1