Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio El Toralin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.35) 1.54 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 25.6% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Zamora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 8.2% 12.6% 9.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPonferradinaZamora
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack36%50%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ponferradina Zamora
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%25%67%43%
Loses100%25%57%25%33%29%

Form: Ponferradina: WLLLDLW • Zamora: DDWDWLL

League goals

Metric Ponferradina Zamora
HATHAT
GF total358628
GF avg1.01.31.11.50.71.1
GA total729347
GA avg2.30.51.30.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePonferradinaZamora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%43%
1.529%43%29%29%
2.514%29%14%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPonferradinaZamora
HATHAT
Clean sheets033314
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPonferradinaZamora
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPonferradinaZamora
Wins11
Draws12
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-33-0
Biggest losses1-32-12-33-1
Goals For2331
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricPonferradinaZamora
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ponferradina or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away3.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 0.96 (league 1.35), Zamora = 1.54 (league 1.05)

Zamora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 8.2% 12.6% 9.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1