Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Romano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.34) 1.63 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 24.7% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 8.3% 13.6% 11.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMérida ADPonferradina
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%43%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mérida AD Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%0%38%25%50%38%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses25%100%63%75%25%50%

Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLW • Ponferradina: WLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Mérida AD Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total91105510
GF avg2.30.31.31.31.31.3
GA total51015729
GA avg1.32.51.91.80.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMérida ADPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%75%50%
1.538%63%38%38%
2.525%38%13%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMérida ADPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricMérida ADPonferradina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMérida ADPonferradina
Wins11
Draws01
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-00-3
Biggest losses2-43-01-32-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricMérida ADPonferradina
Form46%54%
Att54%46%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ponferradina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 0.86 (league 1.34), Ponferradina = 1.63 (league 1.04)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 8.3% 13.6% 11.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1