Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Pedro Escartín
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.38)
0.58 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
12.2%
4 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mérida AD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 20% | 100% | 56% |
Form: Guadalajara: LWWWDLL • Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara | Mérida AD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Winner : Guadalajara
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara = 3.08 (league 1.38), Mérida AD = 0.58 (league 1.04)
| Mérida AD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.0% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 4.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1