Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:15 • Campo de Lasesarre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.36) 0.78 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.3% 40.0% 39.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
0 - 1
22.3%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 28.5% 22.3% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarakaldoPonferradina
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack62%54%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barakaldo Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%0%30%40%40%40%
Draws40%80%60%0%40%20%
Loses0%20%10%60%20%40%

Form: Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWD • Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Barakaldo Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total85137512
GF avg1.61.01.31.41.01.2
GA total4610729
GA avg0.81.21.01.40.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarakaldoPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%70%40%
1.540%10%40%30%
2.50%0%10%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarakaldoPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets101246
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricBarakaldoPonferradina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBarakaldoPonferradina
Wins12
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-00-3
Biggest losses—1-01-32-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricBarakaldoPonferradina
Form47%53%
Att53%47%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ponferradina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barakaldo = 0.47 (league 1.36), Ponferradina = 0.78 (league 1.02)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 28.5% 22.3% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1