Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36) 1.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 27.3% 52.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 11.7% 16.5% 11.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.1% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCacereñoReal Avilés
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack23%69%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cacereño Real Avilés
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%17%20%60%40%50%
Draws50%50%50%20%20%20%
Loses25%33%30%20%40%30%

Form: Cacereño: DDLWDLDWDL • Real Avilés: LDWLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Cacereño Real Avilés
HATHAT
GF total2797916
GF avg0.51.20.91.41.81.6
GA total381161016
GA avg0.81.31.11.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCacereñoReal Avilés
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%70%70%
1.530%30%50%60%
2.510%0%30%30%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCacereñoReal Avilés
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricCacereñoReal Avilés
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCacereñoReal Avilés
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-03-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-32-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricCacereñoReal Avilés
Form33%67%
Att25%75%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Avilés

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cacereño = 0.74 (league 1.36), Real Avilés = 1.41 (league 1.02)

Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 11.7% 16.5% 11.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.1% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 52.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1