Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Romano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.36) 1.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 23.3% 32.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.1% 10.4% 7.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMérida ADReal Madrid II
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack62%77%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mérida AD Real Madrid II
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%20%40%67%50%60%
Draws20%0%10%0%0%0%
Loses20%80%50%33%50%40%

Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDW • Real Madrid II: WLLLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Mérida AD Real Madrid II
HATHAT
GF total93127613
GF avg1.80.61.21.21.51.3
GA total510155510
GA avg1.02.01.50.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMérida ADReal Madrid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%70%70%
1.540%50%40%20%
2.520%30%20%10%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMérida ADReal Madrid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricMérida ADReal Madrid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMérida ADReal Madrid II
Wins11
Draws10
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-01-31-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricMérida ADReal Madrid II
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h38%62%
Goals13%88%
Total39.7%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.87 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 1.72 (league 1.36), Real Madrid II = 1.47 (league 1.02)

Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.1% 10.4% 7.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1